[Salon] Netanyahu plays his hand



Netanyahu plays his hand

Summary: after the extraordinary Zelensky - Trump clash Europe is preoccupied with finding an answer to the existential threat posed by Putin and his apparent ally the President of the United States; it was the perfect time for Benjamin Netanyahu to lay down an ace.

Led by British Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer European leaders huddled in London yesterday in an urgent bid to find a pathway to a peace deal in Ukraine after the Oval Office outburst on Friday that saw Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky savaged by President Trump and his designated pit bull Vice President JD Vance.

With Europe’s leaders otherwise occupied Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu took the opportunity late Saturday to announce he was immediately halting all humanitarian aid to Gaza in what amounts to a blatant violation of the existing ceasefire deal. He demanded the release of all the remaining hostages. “Israel,” he said “will not allow a ceasefire without a release of our hostages.”

The stated reason for halting aid was that Hamas had refused a revision to the existing deal that Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff had cobbled together to extend the current phase one (which expired at midnight on 27 February) for seven weeks, a timeframe that includes Ramadan and the Passover holiday which concludes on 20 April.

First Iftar of Ramadan in Gaza

Unsurprisingly Hamas rejected the proposal which seeks to alter the terms of the original ceasefire and was sprung on them very late in the day and with no prior notice. Netanyahu had laced his pre-emptive demand with the threat of “additional consequences.” Tellingly earlier Saturday the Trump administration released a further US$4 billion worth of arms to Israel. The US Secretary of State Marco Rubio noted in his statement that “Israel has no greater ally in the White House than President Trump.” Rubio added: “the Trump Administration will continue to use all available tools to fulfill America’s long-standing commitment to Israel’s security, including means to counter security threats.”

Netanyahu’s extremist finance minister Bezalel Smotrich was exultant. He called for “opening the gates of hell” in order to achieve his dream of a genocidal ethnic cleansing of Palestinians trapped in the Strip: “the decision we made last night to completely halt humanitarian aid to Gaza until Hamas is destroyed or completely surrenders and all our hostages are returned is an important step in the right direction.”

At the same time attacks in the Occupied West Bank continue to escalate. Beginning in January four refugee camps in Jenin, Tulkarm, Nur Shams and Bar’a have been forcibly emptied of their inhabitants. In all 40,000 people have been driven out of their homes. The Israeli defence minister Israel Katz issued a statement that described the camps as “terror hubs” and said residents would not be allowed to return for at least a year (if ever):

We will not return to the reality that existed in the past. We will continue to clear refugee camps and other terror hubs in order to dismantle the battalions and terror infrastructures of radical Islam that have been built, armed, funded, and trained by the Iranian axis of evil….We will continue the operation until terrorism is defeated.

Netanyahu’s decision to halt aid comes just two days before the Arab League summit in Cairo intended to discuss and pursue a plan that would see Gaza reconstructed while its 2 million inhabitants remain on their land and in what is left of their shattered communities and homes. Here too Netanyahu has been busy. On Thursday it was announced that Israel was sending a delegation to Egypt to discuss ceasefire terms with Hamas. Two days later he effectively torpedoed the existing ceasefire framework.

Rather like Keir Starmer and other European leaders, the key movers of the Cairo Summit – Egypt, Jordan, Qatar and Saudi Arabia – are left scrambling to figure out their next step. The reconstruction can only happen if the ceasefire becomes a formal road map to peace. The path to peace was to follow three phases and the second involved the withdrawal of the IDF. The Israeli PM has just blockaded the road to phase two.

Netanyahu is a clever and ruthless street fighter. He knows that the key to his political survival is to sow uncertainty amongst the Arab states, derail a permanent ceasefire and use limited warfare and/or the threat of an all out “gates of hell” campaign to appease his messianic far right while they pursue ethnic cleaning in the West Bank, all of this to avoid the ignominy of a fraud trial that could put him behind bars.

Meanwhile European leaders and much of the Western media are mesmerised by the crisis in Ukraine and the threat that Putin - invigorated by his apparent ally in the Oval Office - poses. Much discussion among the cognoscenti has been about cards: who has got them and who is sitting with an empty hand; among the latter, according to Donald Trump, is President Zelensky. But while one high stakes game plays out in London and other European capitals, the cards seem to be falling rather nicely for Benjamin Netanyahu.

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